Core concepts

Confidence: probability, band, window

A forecast is rarely a single certain number. Each definition or entry can carry confidence on three axes:

  • probability: how likely the event is to happen at all (100% means certain).
  • band: a low/high range around the amount, as a percentage of the expected amount or as absolute low/high figures. Northwind orders carries an 80%/120% band.
  • window: how many days before or after the expected date the event might land.

Confidence feeds the projection's fan chart and its probability-of-negative. See *Read the projection*.

In-app documentation, version 1. Generated from the product documentation source, so this matches the app exactly.